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Typhoons - Page 2


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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 30th December 2018, 09:16 PM
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I cannot find it now on line but I once saw a historical typhoon tracking map.

No area of the Philippines is immune to these storms, they will hit just about everywhere just about randomly. Local terrain may make the effects worse in some places but otherwise every place is just as likely to get hit.


One season is not enough to claim a trend or pattern. You need 20 or perhaps 50 years data to make any prediction on patters for storms that occur infrequently.

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Old 30th December 2018, 09:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fmartin_gila View Post
Living in the Central Visayas in Iloilo City is not bad as Guimeras Island seems to deflect the hard portions of it storms to the north & south of us. Mostly all we get here is a bit of extra wind and a bit more rain than normal. There is some street flooding, but only a couple feet, not even close to some of the pics I have seen in Manila and some other places.

Fred
True Fred, lots of floods in and around Manila though not experienced myself Bengie told me of a time while he was going to uni and working part time as a packer in one of the SM grocery stores, went to work, lots of rain, finished his shift and had to wade through chest high water to get home to Tutuban. I suppose if it's not floods it's fire and other things in-between. Prepare and stay safe.

Cheers, Steve.

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Old 30th December 2018, 11:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Manitoba View Post
I cannot find it now on line but I once saw a historical typhoon tracking map.

No area of the Philippines is immune to these storms, they will hit just about everywhere just about randomly. Local terrain may make the effects worse in some places but otherwise every place is just as likely to get hit.


One season is not enough to claim a trend or pattern. You need 20 or perhaps 50 years data to make any prediction on patters for storms that occur infrequently.
Agree that no area is totally immune, but Mindanao is largely free of typhoons. I don't agree that the typhoons hit areas randomly. The data clearly shows that some parts of the country are more prone to typhoons than others. Taken from Wikipedia.....

"Typhoons can hit the Philippines any time of year, with the months of June to September being most active, with August being the most active individual month and May the least active. Typhoons move east to west across the country, heading north as they go. Storms most frequently make landfall on the islands of Eastern Visayas, Bicol region, and northern Luzon[2] whereas the southern island and region of Mindanao is largely free of typhoons."

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Old 31st December 2018, 12:00 AM
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hey Hogrider

I totally agree with you about the Mindanao island mostly free from typhoons. I lived there just north of Davao city close to Panabo. In 9 months I never even saw a violent storm let alone a typhoon. We got a lot of steady rain fall but not severe storms. There are a few typhoons that have hit the area over the years but they are rare.

I don't know where they get that the Luzon region only gets 2 typhoons a year. I see the news all the time where they get hit hard and the area floods out. I would rather live on Mindanao then put up with all the bad weather they have in that region.

art

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Old 31st December 2018, 12:02 AM
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Originally Posted by greenstreak1946 View Post
hey Hogrider

I totally agree with you about the Mindanao island mostly free from typhoons. I lived there just north of Davao city close to Panabo. In 9 months I never even saw a violent storm let alone a typhoon. ....
I was in Butuan City for about 4 months and they were hit twice with what the locals called a typhoon, I'd call them a heavey rain with moderate to strong winds.

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Old 31st December 2018, 12:06 AM
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Hi Manitoba,

Yeah the locals with call a strong rain storm a typhoon, because they are not use to the storms on Mindanao island. Farther north you get on Mindanao the more of a chance to see stronger storms. From Davao city south it is less likes to see a real typhoon.

art


Last edited by Asian Spirit; 31st December 2018 at 04:29 AM.
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Old 31st December 2018, 12:52 AM
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I know personally, 2 people that have lost everything in a typhoon, one located in Luzon area and one in Visayas. One is an OFW in Dubai, that had saved every peso she could from her salary for 10 years, to build her home, only to see it totally destroyed in a typhoon before she ever got to live in it. The other was my wifes family.

I don't know exactly how many typhoons have hit Philippines in 2018, but it must be around 20. In Davao the worst we have had is heavy rain.
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Old 31st December 2018, 01:05 AM
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Moderator Note: Link is to History and maps of Typhoons in the Philippines

https://maps.wunderground.com/blog/w...l?entrynum=212
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Last edited by Asian Spirit; 31st December 2018 at 04:25 AM.
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Old 31st December 2018, 05:18 AM
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Yes about 20 a year enter the PAR but only 4 or 5 make land, just like hurricanes in the US. The active centre is usually only a few tens of miles wide hitting 600 miles of coast. To be hit more than once in a decade is low. I think we are worrying unnecessarily. It's like being hit by lightning twice, can happen but very rare.
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Old 31st December 2018, 06:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gary D View Post
Yes about 20 a year enter the PAR but only 4 or 5 make land, just like hurricanes in the US. The active centre is usually only a few tens of miles wide hitting 600 miles of coast. To be hit more than once in a decade is low. I think we are worrying unnecessarily. It's like being hit by lightning twice, can happen but very rare.
I would agree with that from what I've seen over the 15 years I have lived here. The only exception I think would be is in the Aurora area in the very Northeast corner of Luzon Island. They get slammed multiple times each year over an over. A beautiful area but not an area to live as an expat for many reasons and weather would be at the top of the list.
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